Trey Ogden vs Tommy Gantt

May 16, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

DateMay 16, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 16, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Trey OgdenShamurai |18-7-0Trey Ogden vs Tommy GanttTommy Gantt13-0-0

Trey OgdenShamurai18-7-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

18-7-0Record13-0-0

36Age33

5'11"Height5'11"

72"Reach76"

155 lbsWeight155 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Tommy Gantt13-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Tommy Gantt owns a 77-point Elo edge (good). Tommy Gantt shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Trey Ogden and Tommy Gantt across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Trey OgdenTommy Gantt

Recent form

Trey OgdenL W W L W · +23 Elo last 5

LWWLW

Tommy GanttW W W W W · +80 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Trey Ogden1666-15 last move

Tommy Gantt1743+21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Trey Ogden#143 of 398 active Lightweight fighters · 1666 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Daniel Zellhuber (rated 1713 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Nick Browne (rated 1535 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +23 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #142 Sang Uk Kim, 2 ahead of #144 Francis Marshall.

Tommy Gantt#28 of 398 active Lightweight fighters · 1743 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Drakkar Klose (rated 1749 at the time): +21.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +80 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #27 Renato Moicano, 3 ahead of #29 Rafa García.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1532 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Trey OgdenNow 1666 · #143 Lightweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1685

Loses by decision-13→ 1653

Tommy GanttNow 1743 · #28 Lightweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1756

Loses by decision-19→ 1724

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Trey OgdenvsTommy Gantt

Takedown average

1.89vs11.29

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.49vs0.85

Submission average

0.73vs1.41

Sig. strike accuracy

50%vs76%

Finishing profile

Trey Ogdensubmission leads 61% of wins

Tommy GanttKO/TKO leads 46% of wins

Common opponents

Cody CarrilloTrey Ogden: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Aug 14, 2020Tommy Gantt: win · Submission (Guillotine Choke) · Oct 19, 2024

Tale of the tape

Trey OgdenTommy Gantt

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.20Sig. strikes landed per min2.92

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

50Sig. strike accuracy76

UFC lightweight average : 46%

3.49Sig. strikes absorbed per min0.85

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

56Sig. strike defense44

UFC lightweight average : 53%

1.89Takedown average11.29

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

33Takedown accuracy27

UFC lightweight average : 28%

100Takedown defense100

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0.73Submission average1.41

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

0Wins by knockout6

11Wins by submission6

7Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

3Losses by submission0

4Losses by decision0

Trey Ogden vs Tommy Gantt is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS COSTA. Trey Ogden enters with a 18-7-0 record and Tommy Gantt enters with a 13-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.