Valentina Shevchenko vs Weili Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-4-1Record26-4-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
66"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Valentina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Weili Zhang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1845
If they lose-13→ 1821
If they win+13→ 1812
If they lose-11→ 1788
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Valentina ShevchenkoWeili Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentina Shevchenko52%
Weili Zhang 48%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentina Shevchenko a 52% favorite over Weili Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Valentina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1834 to 1799, a 35-point edge.
Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Valentina Shevchenko finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Weili Zhang 73%.
Valentina Shevchenko and Weili Zhang share 1 common opponent: Jéssica Andrade.
Valentina Shevchenko carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.