Josh O'Connor10-0-0
Fabacary Diatta10-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
67%Josh O'Connor33%Fabacary Diatta
Combat Edge Model · Full card
ARES FC 43 : O'CONNOR VS DIATTA predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on ARES FC 43 : O'CONNOR VS DIATTA (September 25, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
9Total bouts
9Frozen forecasts
3Close matchups
3Model / Elo splits
1Strong model leans
OpenPicks close at start
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 9 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Alexis Nicolas1-0-0
Ilyasse Drabo1-1-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
49%Alexis Nicolas51%Ilyasse Drabo
Akhmed Amaev4-0-0
Luke Shanks10-6-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
63%Akhmed Amaev37%Luke Shanks
Vincent Yerly1-0-0
Jan Šťastný1-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agree
52%Vincent Yerly48%Jan Šťastný
William Loussala2-0-0
Kevin Tchoupa2-1-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
46%William Loussala54%Kevin Tchoupa
Prelims
Prelims predictions
4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Vincent Yerly1-0-0
Matěj Daněk2-0-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
40%Vincent Yerly60%Matěj Daněk
Brad Jean-Elie1-0-0
Danylo Kartavyi2-1-1
Model leanModel + Elo agree
32%Brad Jean-Elie68%Danylo Kartavyi
Wael Kambouche2-0-0
Ulysse Ndong3-1-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
41%Wael Kambouche59%Ulysse Ndong
Dylan Antoine0-0-0
Anuj Anuj2-0-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
27%Dylan Antoine73%Anuj Anuj