Josh O'Connor10-0-1
Fabacary Diatta10-1-1
Model leanModel + Elo agree
67%Josh O'Connor33%Fabacary Diatta
Combat Edge Model · Full card
Ares FC 43: O'Connor vs Diatta predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on Ares FC 43: O'Connor vs Diatta (September 25, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
9Total bouts
7Frozen forecasts
2Close matchups
3Model / Elo splits
1Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Showing all 9 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Alexis Nicolas2-0-0
Ilyasse Drabo1-2-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel miss · Alexis Nicolas won
49%Alexis Nicolas51%Ilyasse Drabo
Akhmed Amaev5-0-0
Luke Shanks10-7-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Akhmed Amaev won
63%Akhmed Amaev37%Luke Shanks
Wael Kambouche3-0-0
Ulysse Ndong3-2-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Wael Kambouche won
42%Wael Kambouche58%Ulysse Ndong
Vincent Yerly2-0-0
Joelson Ferreira3-2-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Jimmy Vienot3-1-0
Josenildo Pantoja4-4-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Prelims
Prelims predictions
3 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Brad Jean-Elie2-0-0
Danylo Kartavyi2-2-1
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Brad Jean-Elie won
31%Brad Jean-Elie69%Danylo Kartavyi
William Loussala2-1-0
Kevin Tchoupa3-1-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel hit · Kevin Tchoupa won
47%William Loussala54%Kevin Tchoupa
Dylan Antoine0-1-0
Anuj Anuj3-0-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Anuj Anuj won
27%Dylan Antoine73%Anuj Anuj