Christian Lee vs Tye Ruotolo

Nov 6, 2026 · YouTube

Combat Edge model forecast73%Christian Lee27%Tye RuotoloFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 6, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueLumpinee Stadium

BroadcastYouTube

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 6, 2026 — watch on YouTube.

US East (ET): Fri 6:30 AM
US West (PT): Fri 3:30 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:30 AM
Central Europe: Fri 12:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 10:30 PM
Your time

Christian LeeThe Warrior |18-4-0Christian Lee vs Tye RuotoloTye Ruotolo2-0-0

Christian LeeThe Warrior18-4-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

18-4-0Record2-0-0

28Age23

5'10"Height5'11"

TBDReachTBD

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Tye Ruotolo2-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Christian Lee owns a 186-point Elo edge (great). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Christian Lee and Tye Ruotolo across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Christian LeeTye Ruotolo

Recent form

Christian LeeW W W L W · +30 Elo last 5

WWWLW

Tye RuotoloW W · +66 Elo last 2

Elo edge

Christian Lee1752+10 last move

Tye Ruotolo1566+37 last move

Why they are ranked here

Christian Lee#30 of 380 active Welterweight fighters · 1752 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Shinya Aoki (rated 1833 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Rae Yoon Ok (rated 1698 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +30 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #29 Roberto Soldić, 1 ahead of #31 Colby Covington.

Tye Ruotolo#270 of 380 active Welterweight fighters · 1566 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Shozo Isojima (rated 1628 at the time): +37.
Last 2 fights: 2 wins, 0 losses, +66 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #269 Hacran Dias, 0 ahead of #271 Wissame Akhmouch.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1564 Elo over the last 2 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

73%Christian Lee27%Tye Ruotolo

Model favoriteChristian Lee

Elo baseline74% for Christian Lee

Matchup adjustment-1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Christian LeeStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Christian Lee leads the full model at 73%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1752 · 1566Christian Lee leads by 186 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1598 · 1564Christian Lee faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 2 sampled fights).

Elo record depth23 · 2 fightsChristian Lee has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Christian LeeNow 1752 · #30 Welterweight

Wins by decision+8→ 1760

Loses by decision-24→ 1728

Tye RuotoloNow 1566 · #270 Welterweight

Wins by decision+36→ 1602

Loses by decision-12→ 1554

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Christian LeevsTye Ruotolo

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Christian LeeKO/TKO leads 72% of wins

Tye Ruotolosubmission leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Christian LeeTye Ruotolo

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.65

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 1.43

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

13Wins by knockout0

4Wins by submission2

1Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision0

Christian Lee vs Tye Ruotolo is a scheduled Fight card fight on ONE FRIDAY FIGHTS 177. Christian Lee enters with a 18-4-0 record and Tye Ruotolo enters with a 2-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.