Chayut Rojanakat vs Kentaro Okumura

Nov 6, 2026 · YouTube

Combat Edge model forecast53%Chayut Rojanakat47%Kentaro OkumuraFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 6, 2026

DivisionBantamweight MMA

StatusScheduled

VenueLumpinee Stadium

BroadcastYouTube

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 6, 2026 — watch on YouTube.

US East (ET): Fri 6:30 AM
US West (PT): Fri 3:30 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:30 AM
Central Europe: Fri 12:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 10:30 PM
Your time

Chayut RojanakatBos |5-0-0Chayut Rojanakat vs Kentaro OkumuraKentaro Okumura5-1-0

Chayut RojanakatBos5-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-0-0Record5-1-0

31AgeTBD

5'9"HeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

145 lbsWeight135 lbs

Bantamweight MMAWeight ClassBantamweight MMA

Kentaro Okumura5-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Chayut Rojanakat owns a 26-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Chayut Rojanakat and Kentaro Okumura across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Chayut RojanakatKentaro Okumura

Recent form

Chayut RojanakatW W W W W · +114 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Kentaro OkumuraW L W W W · +63 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Elo edge

Chayut Rojanakat1613+15 last move

Kentaro Okumura1587+19 last move

Why they are ranked here

Chayut Rojanakat#225 of 440 active Featherweight fighters · 1613 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Brennan Kim (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +114 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #224 Antônio Monteiro, 0 ahead of #226 Firas Daud.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 5 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Kentaro Okumura#236 of 376 active Bantamweight fighters · 1587 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Toru Fujii (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Yuto Shioya (rated 1584 at the time): -30.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +63 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #235 Jay Perrin, 0 ahead of #237 Roman Paulus.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

53%Chayut Rojanakat47%Kentaro Okumura

Model favoriteChayut Rojanakat

Elo baseline54% for Chayut Rojanakat

Matchup adjustment-1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Chayut RojanakatStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Chayut Rojanakat leads the full model at 53%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1613 · 1587Chayut Rojanakat leads by 26 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1512Kentaro Okumura faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 6 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 6 fightsKentaro Okumura has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Chayut RojanakatNow 1613 · #225 Featherweight

Wins by decision+22→ 1635

Loses by decision-26→ 1587

Kentaro OkumuraNow 1587 · #236 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+26→ 1613

Loses by decision-22→ 1565

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Chayut RojanakatvsKentaro Okumura

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Chayut RojanakatKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

Kentaro Okumurasubmission leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Chayut RojanakatKentaro Okumura

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.90

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 56%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

3Wins by knockout1

0Wins by submission2

2Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Chayut Rojanakat vs Kentaro Okumura is a scheduled Bantamweight MMA fight on ONE FRIDAY FIGHTS 177. Chayut Rojanakat enters with a 5-0-0 record and Kentaro Okumura enters with a 5-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.