Combat Edge Model · Full card

PFL MENA 11 : RIYADH predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on PFL MENA 11 : RIYADH (October 2, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

Start picking the cardEvent overview
6Total bouts
6Frozen forecasts
1Close matchups
4Model / Elo splits
2Strong model leans
OpenPicks close at start
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET)
Fri 10:00 AM
US West (PT)
Fri 7:00 AM
United Kingdom
Fri 3:00 PM
Central Europe
Fri 4:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sat 12:00 AM
Card intelligence

Find the fights that matter

Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

Showing all 6 matchups.

Main card

Main card predictions

6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.