PFL MENA 11 : RIYADH

Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali

DateOct 2, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueGlobal Theatre
BroadcastESPN 2
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET)
Fri 10:00 AM
US West (PT)
Fri 7:00 AM
United Kingdom
Fri 3:00 PM
Central Europe
Fri 4:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sat 12:00 AM
Badreddine DianiDream Chaser |11-4-0Badreddine Diani vs Hazem KayyaliHazem Kayyali3-0-2
maBadreddine DianiDream Chaser11-4-0Badreddine Diani
Elo1624Solid
3Y trend1551 → 1624
2023-08-25: 15512023-12-01: 15752024-07-12: 15882025-07-04: 16012025-09-27: 16102025-12-05: 15912026-06-19: 16092026-07-10: 1624
ma

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
11-4-0Record3-0-2
TBDAgeTBD
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Welterweight SemifinalWeight ClassWelterweight Semifinal
joHazem Kayyali3-0-2joHazem Kayyali
Elo1606Solid
3Y trend1529 → 1606
2024-01-26: 15292024-05-25: 15272024-10-19: 15262026-02-06: 15522026-06-19: 15812026-07-10: 1606
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Badreddine Diani owns a 18-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Badreddine Diani and Hazem Kayyali across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Badreddine DianiHazem Kayyali
15501600202420252026

Recent form

Badreddine DianiW W L W W · +35 Elo last 5
WWLWW
Hazem KayyaliW W W D D · +78 Elo last 5
WWWDD

Elo edge

Badreddine Diani1624+15 last move
Hazem Kayyali1606+25 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
71%Badreddine Diani29%Hazem Kayyali
Model favoriteBadreddine Diani
Elo baseline53% for Badreddine Diani
Matchup adjustment+18 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Badreddine DianiStake

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Badreddine Diani leads the full model at 71%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 19 points.

Current Elo ratings1624 · 1606Badreddine Diani leads by 18 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1544 · 1538Badreddine Diani faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 6 sampled fights).
Elo record depth16 · 6 fightsBadreddine Diani has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Badreddine DianivsHazem Kayyali

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Badreddine Dianidecision leads 64% of wins
Hazem KayyaliKO/TKO leads 33% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Badreddine DianiHazem Kayyali

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC welterweight average : 3.67
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC welterweight average : 46%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC welterweight average : 3.83
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC welterweight average : 53%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC welterweight average : 1.33
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC welterweight average : 32%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC welterweight average : 59%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC welterweight average : 0.54
2Wins by knockout1
2Wins by submission1
7Wins by decision1
2Losses by knockout0
0Losses by submission0
2Losses by decision0

Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali is a scheduled Welterweight Semifinal fight on PFL MENA 11 : RIYADH. Badreddine Diani enters with a 11-4-0 record and Hazem Kayyali enters with a 3-0-2 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali quick answers

When is Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali?

Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali is listed for PFL MENA 11 : RIYADH on Oct 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST.

What event is Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali on?

Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali is listed on PFL MENA 11 : RIYADH.

What are the records for Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali?

Badreddine Diani enters with a 11-4-0 record and Hazem Kayyali enters with a 3-0-2 record.

What division is Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali?

Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali is listed as a Welterweight Semifinal fight.

Full fight card

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