Combat Edge Model · Full card

Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs Benn predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs Benn (September 12, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

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9Total bouts

9Frozen forecasts

7Close matchups

0Model / Elo splits

0Strong model leans

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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

Showing all 9 matchups.

Main card

Main card predictions

4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

WBC World Welterweight Titlev0.7-2026-08-28

Ryan Garcia26-2-0

Conor Benn25-2-0

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Ryan Garcia won

54%Ryan Garcia46%Conor Benn

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Zuffa Boxing and The Ring cruiserweight titlesv0.7-2026-08-28

Jai Opetaia31-0-0

Noel Mikaelyan28-4-0

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Jai Opetaia won

51%Jai Opetaia49%Noel Mikaelyan

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Heavyweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Raphael Akpejiori23-4-0

Damazion Vanhouter13-0-0

Model lean50/50 baselineModel hit · Damazion Vanhouter won

43%Raphael Akpejiori57%Damazion Vanhouter

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Lightweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Mark Magsayo29-3-0

Andres Cortes26-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel miss · Andres Cortes won

52%Mark Magsayo48%Andres Cortes

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Prelims

Prelims predictions

5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Lightweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Oswaldo Molina10-0-0

Pablo Rubio Jr.15-1-0

Model lean50/50 baselineModel hit · Oswaldo Molina won

57%Oswaldo Molina43%Pablo Rubio Jr.

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Super middleweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Abel Gonzalez9-0-0

Raul Salomon16-5-0

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel miss · Abel Gonzalez won

47%Abel Gonzalez53%Raul Salomon

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Super welterweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Vlad Panin25-2-0

Dakota Linger17-8-3

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Vlad Panin won

51%Vlad Panin49%Dakota Linger

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Welterweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Alexis Rocha26-2-0

Jose Ramirez29-3-0

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Alexis Rocha won

53%Alexis Rocha48%Jose Ramirez

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Lightweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Sean Garcia8-1-1

Abraham Morales4-2-0

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Sean Garcia won

54%Sean Garcia46%Abraham Morales

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%