Alexy Cloutier vs Vince Nikiforov

Nov 6, 2026 · UFC FIGHT PASS

Combat Edge model forecast51%Alexy Cloutier49%Vince NikiforovFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 6, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCasino Du Lac Leamy

BroadcastUFC FIGHT PASS

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 6, 2026 — watch on UFC FIGHT PASS.

US East (ET): Fri 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 10:00 AM
Your time

Alexy Cloutier1-0-0Alexy Cloutier vs Vince NikiforovVince Nikiforov1-0-0

Alexy Cloutier1-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

1-0-0Record1-0-0

TBDAgeTBD

5'5"Height5'11"

-Reach-

136 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Vince Nikiforov1-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Alexy Cloutier and Vince Nikiforov across their careers →

Recent form

Alexy CloutierW · +29 Elo last 1

Vince NikiforovW · +29 Elo last 1

Elo edge

Alexy Cloutier1529+29 last move

Vince Nikiforov1529+29 last move

Why they are ranked here

Alexy Cloutier#274 of 315 active Bantamweight fighters · 1529 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ryan Hickey (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Next places: 1 point behind #273 Victor Gabriel, 0 ahead of #275 Mateo Aguero.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 1 fight. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.
Sample: Only 1 rated fight, so each result still moves this rating more than a veteran's.

Vince Nikiforov#276 of 315 active Bantamweight fighters · 1529 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Milan Parobek (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Next places: 0 points behind #275 Mateo Aguero, 1 ahead of #277 João Vitor Pereira.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 1 fight. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.
Sample: Only 1 rated fight, so each result still moves this rating more than a veteran's.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

51%Alexy Cloutier49%Vince Nikiforov

Model favoriteAlexy Cloutier

Elo baseline50% for Alexy Cloutier

Matchup adjustment+1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Alexy CloutierStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Alexy Cloutier at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1529 · 1529The fighters have the same published Elo rating.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1500Equal pre-fight opponent Elo across 1 and 1 sampled fights.

Elo record depth1 · 1 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Alexy CloutierNow 1529 · #274 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1553

Loses by decision-24→ 1505

Vince NikiforovNow 1529 · #276 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1553

Loses by decision-24→ 1505

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Alexy CloutiervsVince Nikiforov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Alexy Cloutiersubmission leads 100% of wins

Vince NikiforovKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Alexy CloutierVince Nikiforov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.71

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

0Wins by knockout1

1Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Alexy Cloutier vs Vince Nikiforov is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on SAMOURAI MMA 22 : BONIN VS AVELLAN. Alexy Cloutier enters with a 1-0-0 record and Vince Nikiforov enters with a 1-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.