Nell Ariano6-1-0
Preston LaGrange7-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Preston LaGrange won
50.3%Nell Ariano49.7%Preston LaGrange
Combat Edge Model · Full card
Contender Series 2026: Week 9 predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on Contender Series 2026: Week 9 (October 6, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
5Total bouts
5Frozen forecasts
1Close matchups
1Model / Elo splits
1Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 5 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Sal Everett4-0-0
Ozzy Martin4-0-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Sal Everett won
24%Sal Everett76%Ozzy Martin
Roque Conceicao12-3-0
Alexander Chavez9-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Roque Conceicao won
39%Roque Conceicao61%Alexander Chavez
Ryuho Miyaguchi7-2-0
Mateus Soares12-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Mateus Soares won
44%Ryuho Miyaguchi56%Mateus Soares
Summer Onley6-1-0
Alivia Bierley6-1-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Alivia Bierley won
33%Summer Onley67%Alivia Bierley