BJ Penn vs Diego Sanchez

Dec 12, 2009 · ESPN+

DateDec 12, 2009

DivisionLightweight Title

StatusScheduled

VenueFedEx Forum

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 12, 2009 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

BJ PennThe Prodigy |16-14-2BJ Penn vs Diego SanchezDiego SanchezThe Nightmare |30-14-0

BJ PennThe Prodigy16-14-2

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:02:37

16-14-2Record30-14-0

47Age44

5'9"Height5'10"

70"ReachTBD

145 lbsWeight170 lbs

Lightweight TitleWeight ClassLightweight Title

Diego SanchezThe Nightmare30-14-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Diego Sanchez owns a 66-point Elo edge (good). BJ Penn shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare BJ Penn and Diego Sanchez across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

BJ PennDiego Sanchez

Recent form

BJ PennL L L L L · -65 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Diego SanchezL L W L W · -17 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

BJ Penn1615-12 last move

Diego Sanchez1681-11 last move

Why they are ranked here

BJ PennNot on the active ladder · 1615 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Matt Hughes (rated 1849 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Frankie Edgar (rated 1673 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -65 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1525, not 1615: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Diego SanchezNot on the active ladder · 1681 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Marcin Held (rated 1718 at the time): +12.
Costliest loss: Lost to Matt Brown (rated 1621 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -17 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1591, not 1681: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

BJ PennNow 1615

Wins by decision+14→ 1629

Loses by decision-10→ 1605

Diego SanchezNow 1681

Wins by decision+10→ 1691

Loses by decision-14→ 1667

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

BJ PennvsDiego Sanchez

Takedown accuracy

55%vs24%

Takedown defense

75%vs46%

Submission average

0.51vs0.83

Sig. strike accuracy

49%vs38%

Finishing profile

BJ PennKO/TKO leads 44% of wins

Diego Sanchezdecision leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

Ricardo LamasBJ Penn: cancelled · Oct 15, 2016Diego Sanchez: loss · Decision · Nov 21, 2015

Takanori GomiBJ Penn: win · Rear Naked Choke · Oct 10, 2003Diego Sanchez: win · Decision · Mar 2, 2013

Matt Hughes BJ Penn: win · Punches · Nov 20, 2010Diego Sanchez: cancelled · Sep 24, 2011

Tale of the tape

BJ PennDiego Sanchez

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.76Sig. strikes landed per min2.69

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

49Sig. strike accuracy38

UFC featherweight average : 46%

3.20Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.02

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

57Sig. strike defense56

UFC featherweight average : 54%

1.19Takedown average1.51

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

55Takedown accuracy24

UFC featherweight average : 29%

75Takedown defense46

UFC featherweight average : 55%

0.51Submission average0.83

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

7Wins by knockout10

6Wins by submission6

3Wins by decision13

4Losses by knockout4

1Losses by submission0

9Losses by decision10

BJ Penn vs Diego Sanchez is a scheduled Lightweight Title fight on UFC 107 : PENN VS SANCHEZ. BJ Penn enters with a 16-14-2 record and Diego Sanchez enters with a 30-14-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.