Marcos Breno vs Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu

Aug 21, 2026 · Vice TV

Combat Edge model forecast40%Marcos Breno60%Bektur Zhenishbek UuluFull forecast

DateAug 21, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueVentura County Event Center

BroadcastVice TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, August 21, 2026 — watch on Vice TV.

US East (ET): Fri 7:30 PM
US West (PT): Fri 4:30 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 12:30 AM
Central Europe: Sat 1:30 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 9:30 AM
Your time

Marcos Breno16-4-0Marcos Breno vs Bektur Zhenishbek UuluBektur Zhenishbek Uulu5-0-0

Marcos Breno16-4-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

16-4-0Record5-0-0

28Age26

5'5"Height5'4"

68"Reach-

135 lbsWeight125 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu5-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Marcos Breno owns a 23-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Marcos Breno and Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Marcos BrenoBektur Zhenishbek Uulu

Recent form

Marcos BrenoW L L W W · +40 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Bektur Zhenishbek UuluW W W W W · +115 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Marcos Breno1638+24 last move

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu1615+17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Marcos Breno#152 of 319 active Bantamweight fighters · 1638 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Haojie Li (rated 1523 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Taylor Lapilus (rated 1633 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +40 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #151 Ali Gündüz, 1 ahead of #153 Reece McLaren.

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu#93 of 195 active Flyweight fighters · 1615 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mukhammad Anvarov (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +115 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #92 Ronan Deegan, 0 ahead of #94 Erfan Ahangarian.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 5 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.5-2026-07-01

40%Marcos Breno60%Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu

Model favoriteBektur Zhenishbek Uulu

Elo baseline50% for Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu

Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Bektur Zhenishbek UuluStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu leads the full model at 60%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 10 points.

Current Elo ratings1638 · 1615Marcos Breno leads by 23 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1591 · 1500Marcos Breno faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 5 fightsMarcos Breno has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Marcos BrenoNow 1638 · #152 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1653

Loses by decision-17→ 1621

Bektur Zhenishbek UuluNow 1615 · #93 Flyweight

Wins by decision+26→ 1641

Loses by decision-22→ 1593

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Marcos BrenovsBektur Zhenishbek Uulu

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Marcos BrenoKO/TKO leads 56% of wins

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulusubmission leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Marcos BrenoBektur Zhenishbek Uulu

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.71

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

9Wins by knockout1

5Wins by submission2

2Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

3Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Marcos Breno vs Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu is a scheduled Fight card fight on LFA 239 : MECATE VS EXPOSITO. Marcos Breno enters with a 16-4-0 record and Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu enters with a 5-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.