Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira

Aug 1, 2015 · ESPN+

DateAug 1, 2015

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueArena Olimpica do Rio

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, August 1, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Maurício RuaShogun |27-14-1Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Rogerio NogueiraAntônio Rogério NogueiraMinotouro |23-10-0

Maurício RuaShogun27-14-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

27-14-1Record23-10-0

44Age50

6'1"Height6'2"

76"Reach77"

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Antônio Rogério NogueiraMinotouro23-10-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Antônio Rogério Nogueira owns a 16-point Elo edge (good). Maurício Rua shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Maurício Rua and Antônio Rogério Nogueira across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Maurício RuaAntônio Rogério Nogueira

Recent form

Maurício RuaL L L W D · -35 Elo last 5

LLLWD

Antônio Rogério NogueiraL L W L W · -14 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Maurício Rua1691-15 last move

Antônio Rogério Nogueira1707-10 last move

Why they are ranked here

Maurício RuaNot on the active ladder · 1691 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Antônio Rogério Nogueira (rated 1735 at the time): +13.
Costliest loss: Lost to Paul Craig (rated 1679 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 3 losses, -35 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1611, not 1691: 80 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Antônio Rogério NogueiraNot on the active ladder · 1707 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Tito Ortiz (rated 1788 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ryan Spann (rated 1677 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -14 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1617, not 1707: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Maurício RuaNow 1691

Wins by decision+13→ 1704

Loses by decision-11→ 1680

Antônio Rogério NogueiraNow 1707

Wins by decision+11→ 1718

Loses by decision-13→ 1694

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Maurício RuavsAntônio Rogério Nogueira

Takedown average

2.01vs0.64

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.57vs2.43

Sig. strike accuracy

51%vs35%

Takedown defense

49%vs62%

Finishing profile

Maurício RuaKO/TKO leads 78% of wins

Antônio Rogério Nogueiradecision leads 39% of wins

Common opponents

Sam AlveyMaurício Rua: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Nov 16, 2019Antônio Rogério Nogueira: win · TKO (Punches) · Sep 22, 2018

Alexander GustafssonMaurício Rua: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Dec 8, 2012Antônio Rogério Nogueira: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Nov 19, 2016

Alexander GustafssonMaurício Rua: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Dec 8, 2012Antônio Rogério Nogueira: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 8, 2014

Tale of the tape

Maurício RuaAntônio Rogério Nogueira

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.57Sig. strikes landed per min2.43

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

51Sig. strike accuracy35

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

2.79Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.34

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

54Sig. strike defense60

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

2.01Takedown average0.64

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

49Takedown accuracy45

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

49Takedown defense62

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0.71Submission average0.79

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

21Wins by knockout8

1Wins by submission6

5Wins by decision9

7Losses by knockout4

3Losses by submission0

4Losses by decision6

Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC 190 : ROUSEY VS CORREIA. Maurício Rua enters with a 27-14-1 record and Antônio Rogério Nogueira enters with a 23-10-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.