Phil Davis vs Wagner Prado

Aug 5, 2012 · ESPN+

DateAug 5, 2012

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueSTAPLES Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, August 5, 2012 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 9:00 AM
Your time

Phil DavisMr. Wonderful |24-7-0Phil Davis vs Wagner PradoWagner PradoCaldeirao |18-8-1

Phil DavisMr. Wonderful24-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:01:28

24-7-0Record18-8-1

42Age39

6'2"Height6'1"

TBDReachTBD

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Wagner PradoCaldeirao18-8-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Phil Davis owns a 122-point Elo edge (good). Phil Davis shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Phil Davis and Wagner Prado across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Phil DavisWagner Prado

Recent form

Phil DavisL W L W W · +13 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Wagner PradoW L W L L · -16 Elo last 5

WLWLL

Elo edge

Phil Davis1723-15 last move

Wagner Prado1601+15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Phil Davis#22 of 177 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1723 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Rob Wilkinson (rated 1728 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Vadim Nemkov (rated 1655 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +13 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #21 Modestas Bukauskas, 3 ahead of #23 Volkan Oezdemir.

Wagner PradoNot on the active ladder · 1601 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Elmar Gasanov (rated 1653 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Elkhan Musaev (rated 1500 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -16 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1569, not 1601: 32 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Phil DavisNow 1723 · #22 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+8→ 1731

Loses by decision-16→ 1707

Wagner PradoNow 1601

Wins by decision+21→ 1622

Loses by decision-11→ 1590

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Phil DavisvsWagner Prado

Takedown average

2.76vs0

Takedown accuracy

36%vs0%

Takedown defense

72%vs22%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

1.39vs3.06

Finishing profile

Phil Davisdecision leads 54% of wins

Wagner PradoKO/TKO leads 89% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Phil DavisWagner Prado

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.87Sig. strikes landed per min1.72

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

35Sig. strike accuracy40

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

1.39Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.06

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

72Sig. strike defense51

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

2.76Takedown average0

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

36Takedown accuracy0

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

72Takedown defense22

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0.53Submission average0

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

6Wins by knockout16

5Wins by submission0

13Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission3

7Losses by decision3

Phil Davis vs Wagner Prado is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC ON FOX 4 : SHOGUN VS VERA. Phil Davis enters with a 24-7-0 record and Wagner Prado enters with a 18-8-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.