Rachid Haz vs Ahmed Tarek

DateJul 10, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueBoulevard Studios

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, July 10, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Fri 10:00 AM
US West (PT): Fri 7:00 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 3:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 4:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 12:00 AM
Your time

Rachid HazHaz |11-4-0Rachid Haz vs Ahmed TarekAhmed TarekThe Mental Rock |7-2-0

Rachid HazHaz11-4-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

11-4-0Record7-2-0

33Age27

5'7"Height5'10"

-Reach74"

135 lbsWeight145 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Ahmed TarekThe Mental Rock7-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Rachid Haz owns a 48-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Rachid Haz and Ahmed Tarek across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Rachid HazAhmed Tarek

Recent form

Rachid HazL W W W L · +7 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Ahmed TarekL L W W W · +14 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Rachid Haz1610-16 last move

Ahmed Tarek1562-23 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.5-2026-07-01

30%Rachid Haz70%Ahmed Tarek

Model favoriteAhmed Tarek

Elo baseline51% for Ahmed Tarek

Matchup adjustment+19 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Ahmed TarekStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Ahmed Tarek leads the full model at 70%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 18 points.

Current Elo ratings1610 · 1562Rachid Haz leads by 48 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1544 · 1520Rachid Haz faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 9 fightsRachid Haz has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Rachid HazvsAhmed Tarek

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Rachid Hazsubmission leads 45% of wins

Ahmed Tareksubmission leads 71% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Rachid HazAhmed Tarek

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.70

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

2Wins by knockout0

5Wins by submission5

4Wins by decision2

2Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision2

Rachid Haz vs Ahmed Tarek is a scheduled Fight card fight on PFL MENA 10 : ALSAIF VS OUHACHI. Rachid Haz enters with a 11-4-0 record and Ahmed Tarek enters with a 7-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.