Murad Ibragimov vs Juscelino Pantoja

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast45%Murad Ibragimov55%Juscelino PantojaFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Murad Ibragimov5-1-0Murad Ibragimov vs Juscelino PantojaJuscelino Pantoja9-1-0

Murad Ibragimov5-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-1-0Record9-1-0

25Age33

5'6"Height5'6"

TBDReachTBD

135 lbsWeight125 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Juscelino Pantoja9-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Juscelino Pantoja owns a 74-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Murad Ibragimov and Juscelino Pantoja across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Murad IbragimovJuscelino Pantoja

Recent form

Murad IbragimovW L W W W · +58 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Juscelino PantojaW W W W L · +32 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Elo edge

Murad Ibragimov1588+23 last move

Juscelino Pantoja1662+12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Murad Ibragimov#221 of 343 active Bantamweight fighters · 1588 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Erbolat Beknazym (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Sukhrobbek Atazhanov (rated 1500 at the time): -37.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +58 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #220 Goga Shamatava, 0 ahead of #222 Šimon Bruknar.

Juscelino Pantoja#57 of 213 active Flyweight fighters · 1662 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Romero dos Reis (rated 1604 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jose Ochoa (rated 1640 at the time): -28.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +32 Elo in total.
Next places: 4 points behind #56 Namsrai Batbayar, 5 ahead of #58 Ata Atdayev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

45%Murad Ibragimov55%Juscelino Pantoja

Model favoriteJuscelino Pantoja

Elo baseline60% for Juscelino Pantoja

Matchup adjustment-5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Juscelino PantojaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Juscelino Pantoja leads the full model at 55%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratings1588 · 1662Juscelino Pantoja leads by 74 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1521Juscelino Pantoja faced the stronger recent schedule (6 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth6 · 10 fightsJuscelino Pantoja has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Murad IbragimovNow 1588 · #221 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+29→ 1617

Loses by decision-19→ 1569

Juscelino PantojaNow 1662 · #57 Flyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1675

Loses by decision-19→ 1643

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Murad IbragimovvsJuscelino Pantoja

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Murad IbragimovKO/TKO leads 80% of wins

Juscelino PantojaKO/TKO leads 44% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Murad IbragimovJuscelino Pantoja

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

4Wins by knockout4

1Wins by submission1

0Wins by decision4

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision0

Murad Ibragimov vs Juscelino Pantoja is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Murad Ibragimov enters with a 5-1-0 record and Juscelino Pantoja enters with a 9-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.