Douglas Da Lapa vs Davi Cabral

Oct 13, 2026 · Paramount+

Combat Edge model forecast48%Douglas Da Lapa52%Davi CabralFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 13, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastParamount+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, October 13, 2026 — watch on Paramount+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 10:00 AM
Your time

Douglas Da LapaRobozinho |6-0-0Douglas Da Lapa vs Davi CabralDavi CabralYoung Lion |7-0-0

Douglas Da LapaRobozinho6-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

6-0-0Record7-0-0

27Age27

6'3"Height5'9"

-Reach-

185 lbsWeight179 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Davi CabralYoung Lion7-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Davi Cabral owns a 20-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Douglas Da Lapa and Davi Cabral across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Douglas Da LapaDavi Cabral

Recent form

Douglas Da LapaW W W W W · +115 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Davi CabralW W W W W · +91 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Douglas Da Lapa1644+25 last move

Davi Cabral1664+11 last move

Why they are ranked here

Douglas Da Lapa#111 of 255 active Middleweight fighters · 1644 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jeferson Lopes (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +115 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #110 Robert Bryczek, 4 ahead of #112 Laureano Staropoli.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1513 Elo over the last 6 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Davi Cabral#89 of 255 active Middleweight fighters · 1664 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Idrees Hamed (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +91 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #88 Dalton Rosta, 0 ahead of #90 Eryk Anders.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1482 Elo over the last 8 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

48%Douglas Da Lapa52%Davi Cabral

Model favoriteDavi Cabral

Elo baseline53% for Davi Cabral

Matchup adjustment-1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Davi CabralStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Davi Cabral leads the full model at 52%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1644 · 1664Davi Cabral leads by 20 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1513 · 1482Douglas Da Lapa faced the stronger recent schedule (6 vs 8 sampled fights).

Elo record depth6 · 8 fightsDavi Cabral has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Douglas Da LapaNow 1644 · #111 Middleweight

Wins by decision+25→ 1669

Loses by decision-23→ 1621

Davi CabralNow 1664 · #89 Middleweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1687

Loses by decision-25→ 1639

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Douglas Da LapavsDavi Cabral

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Douglas Da LapaKO/TKO leads 83% of wins

Davi CabralKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Douglas Da LapaDavi Cabral

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

5Wins by knockout4

0Wins by submission2

1Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Douglas Da Lapa vs Davi Cabral is a scheduled Middleweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 10. Douglas Da Lapa enters with a 6-0-0 record and Davi Cabral enters with a 7-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.