Uriah Hall vs Rafael Natal

May 23, 2015 · ESPN+

DateMay 23, 2015

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMGM Grand Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 23, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 1:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:30 AM
Your time

Uriah HallPrimetime |17-11-0Uriah Hall vs Rafael NatalRafael NatalSapo |21-9-1

Uriah HallPrimetime17-11-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

17-11-0Record21-9-1

42Age43

6'0"Height6'0"

79"Reach76,0"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Rafael NatalSapo21-9-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Uriah Hall owns a 24-point Elo edge (good). Rafael Natal shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Uriah Hall and Rafael Natal across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Uriah HallRafael Natal

Recent form

Uriah HallL L W W W · +25 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Rafael NatalL L L W W · -28 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Uriah Hall1696-10 last move

Rafael Natal1672-16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Uriah HallNot on the active ladder · 1696 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Krzysztof Jotko (rated 1711 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Paulo Costa (rated 1709 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +25 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1606, not 1696: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Rafael NatalNot on the active ladder · 1672 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Tor Troeng (rated 1664 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tim Kennedy (rated 1750 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -28 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1582, not 1672: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Uriah HallNow 1696

Wins by decision+11→ 1707

Loses by decision-13→ 1683

Rafael NatalNow 1672

Wins by decision+13→ 1685

Loses by decision-11→ 1661

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Uriah HallvsRafael Natal

Takedown average

0.54vs2.55

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.85vs2.48

Submission average

0.15vs0.50

Takedown defense

64%vs77%

Finishing profile

Uriah HallKO/TKO leads 76% of wins

Rafael Nataldecision leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

Robert Whittaker Uriah Hall: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Nov 14, 2015 Rafael Natal: loss · Decision · Apr 23, 2016

Costas PhilippouUriah Hall: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jan 18, 2015Rafael Natal: cancelled · Aug 6, 2011

Tale of the tape

Uriah HallRafael Natal

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.23Sig. strikes landed per min3.10

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

49Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.85Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.48

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

54Sig. strike defense58

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.54Takedown average2.55

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

39Takedown accuracy34

UFC middleweight average : 30%

64Takedown defense77

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.15Submission average0.50

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

13Wins by knockout4

1Wins by submission8

3Wins by decision9

4Losses by knockout6

0Losses by submission0

7Losses by decision3

Uriah Hall vs Rafael Natal is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC 187 : JOHNSON VS CORMIER. Uriah Hall enters with a 17-11-0 record and Rafael Natal enters with a 21-9-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.