Zaurbek Sabanov vs Adama Diop

DateSep 29, 2026

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, September 29, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 9:00 AM
Your time

Zaurbek Sabanov4-0-0Zaurbek Sabanov vs Adama DiopAdama DiopBlinde |6-1-0

Zaurbek Sabanov4-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

4-0-0Record6-1-0

TBDAgeTBD

6'4"Height6'1"

-Reach-

258 lbsWeight259 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

Adama DiopBlinde6-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Adama Diop owns a 10-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Zaurbek Sabanov and Adama Diop across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Zaurbek SabanovAdama Diop

Recent form

Zaurbek SabanovW W W W · +100 Elo last 4

WWWW

Adama DiopW W W W W · +113 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Zaurbek Sabanov1600+24 last move

Adama Diop1610+20 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

52%Zaurbek Sabanov48%Adama Diop

Model favoriteZaurbek Sabanov

Elo baseline49% for Zaurbek Sabanov

Matchup adjustment+3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Zaurbek SabanovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Zaurbek Sabanov is 52%, after Elo alone favored Adama Diop at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1600 · 1610Adama Diop leads by 10 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1505 · 1484Zaurbek Sabanov faced the stronger recent schedule (4 vs 7 sampled fights).

Elo record depth4 · 7 fightsAdama Diop has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Zaurbek SabanovvsAdama Diop

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Zaurbek SabanovKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Adama DiopKO/TKO leads 83% of wins

Common opponents

Paul-Emmanuel GnazeZaurbek Sabanov: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Oct 18, 2025Adama Diop: win · TKO (Punch) · Mar 29, 2025

Tale of the tape

Zaurbek SabanovAdama Diop

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 3.71

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 3.89

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 1.41

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 54%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 0.45

3Wins by knockout5

0Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Zaurbek Sabanov vs Adama Diop is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 8. Zaurbek Sabanov enters with a 4-0-0 record and Adama Diop enters with a 6-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.