Allen Frye vs RJ Harris

Oct 10, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast37%Allen Frye63%RJ HarrisFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 10, 2026

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Allen FryeAJ |6-1-0Allen Frye vs RJ HarrisRJ HarrisThe Hammer |6-0-0

Allen FryeAJ6-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

6-1-0Record6-0-0

28Age28

6'4"Height6'6"

80"Reach78"

265 lbsWeight259 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

RJ HarrisThe Hammer6-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

RJ Harris owns a 30-point Elo edge (good). RJ Harris shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Allen Frye and RJ Harris across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Allen FryeRJ Harris

Recent form

Allen FryeL W W W W · +68 Elo last 5

LWWWW

RJ HarrisW W W W W · +127 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Allen Frye1624-27 last move

RJ Harris1654+30 last move

Why they are ranked here

Allen Frye#87 of 173 active Heavyweight fighters · 1624 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Justin Frazier (rated 1636 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Guilherme Pat (rated 1613 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +68 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #86 Thomas Petersen, 1 ahead of #88 Greg Hardy.

RJ Harris#67 of 173 active Heavyweight fighters · 1654 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Charlie Cleveland (rated 1553 at the time): +31.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +127 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #66 Johnny Walker, 1 ahead of #68 Maxwell Djantou Nana.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1533 Elo over the last 6 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

37%Allen Frye63%RJ Harris

Model favoriteRJ Harris

Elo baseline54% for RJ Harris

Matchup adjustment+9 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back RJ HarrisStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

RJ Harris leads the full model at 63%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 9 points.

Current Elo ratings1624 · 1654RJ Harris leads by 30 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1531 · 1533RJ Harris faced the stronger recent schedule (7 vs 6 sampled fights).

Elo record depth7 · 6 fightsAllen Frye has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesAllen Frye 1 · 3 RJ HarrisStrongest available gap: Sig. strikes landed per min toward RJ Harris.

What's at stake

Allen FryeNow 1624 · #87 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+26→ 1650

Loses by decision-22→ 1602

RJ HarrisNow 1654 · #67 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+22→ 1676

Loses by decision-26→ 1628

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Allen FryevsRJ Harris

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.20vs9

Sig. strike defense

36%vs56%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.27vs6.60

Sig. strike accuracy

38%vs58%

Finishing profile

Allen FryeKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

RJ Harrissubmission leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Alvin Hines Allen Frye: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 18, 2026 RJ Harris: win · TKO (punches) · Jul 18, 2026

Tale of the tape

Allen FryeRJ Harris

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.20Sig. strikes landed per min9

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

38Sig. strike accuracy58

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

4.27Sig. strikes absorbed per min6.60

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

36Sig. strike defense56

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

0Takedown average0

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

0Takedown defense0

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0Submission average0

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

6Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission3

0Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Allen Frye vs RJ Harris is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN. Allen Frye enters with a 6-1-0 record and RJ Harris enters with a 6-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.