Ian Escuza vs Luca Borando

DateSep 29, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, September 29, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 9:00 AM
Your time

Ian EscuzaEl Especimen |7-0-0Ian Escuza vs Luca BorandoLuca Borando9-1-0

Ian EscuzaEl Especimen7-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

7-0-0Record9-1-0

30Age25

5'8"Height5'10"

-Reach-

145 lbsWeight161 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Luca Borando9-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Luca Borando owns a 6-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ian Escuza and Luca Borando across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ian EscuzaLuca Borando

Recent form

Ian EscuzaW W W W W · +98 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Luca BorandoW W W W W · +96 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Ian Escuza1654+18 last move

Luca Borando1660+18 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

47%Ian Escuza53%Luca Borando

Model favoriteLuca Borando

Elo baseline51% for Luca Borando

Matchup adjustment+2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Luca BorandoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Luca Borando leads the full model at 53%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1654 · 1660Luca Borando leads by 6 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1488 · 1496Luca Borando faced the stronger recent schedule (7 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth7 · 10 fightsLuca Borando has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Ian EscuzavsLuca Borando

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Ian EscuzaKO/TKO leads 71% of wins

Luca BorandoKO/TKO leads 78% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ian EscuzaLuca Borando

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.96

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.63

5Wins by knockout7

2Wins by submission1

0Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision0

Ian Escuza vs Luca Borando is a scheduled Featherweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 8. Ian Escuza enters with a 7-0-0 record and Luca Borando enters with a 9-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.