Ailín Pérez vs Macy Chiasson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record10-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'11"
66"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1668 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Ailín Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Macy Chiasson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-20→ 1674
If they win+20→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ailín PérezMacy Chiasson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ailín Pérez79%
Macy Chiasson 21%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 79% favorite over Macy Chiasson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Ailín Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1614, a 80-point edge.
Ailín Pérez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ailín Pérez finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Macy Chiasson 60%.
Macy Chiasson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.