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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ailín Pérez vs Macy Chiasson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record10-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'11"
66"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1669 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Ailín Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Macy Chiasson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ailín PérezNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-20→ 1690
Macy ChiassonNow 1613
If they win+20→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.88
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
56%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
57%
Strike defense
45%
4.90
Takedown avg.
1.87
2%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
63%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Ailín PérezMacy Chiasson
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
2 (14%)
Submission
3 (30%)
8 (57%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Ailín Pérez78%
Macy Chiasson 22%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 78% favorite over Macy Chiasson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Ailín Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1613, a 97-point edge.

Ailín Pérez enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ailín Pérez finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Macy Chiasson 60%.

Ailín Pérez and Macy Chiasson share 1 common opponent: Norma Dumont.

Macy Chiasson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
Norma Dumont
WinDecision (split) · 2022