Alexa Grasso vs Rose Namajunas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-1Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeam303 Training Center
What's at stake
Alexa Grasso is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rose Namajunas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1730
If they lose-17→ 1698
If they win+17→ 1712
If they lose-15→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexa GrassoRose Namajunas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexa Grasso60%
Rose Namajunas 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexa Grasso a 60% favorite over Rose Namajunas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Alexa Grasso holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1695, a 20-point edge.
Alexa Grasso finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.
Alexa Grasso and Rose Namajunas share 2 common opponents: Natália Silva and Carla Esparza.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.