Alexa Grasso vs Rose Namajunas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam303 Training Center
What's at stake
Alexa Grasso is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rose Namajunas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1746
If they lose-18→ 1714
If they win+18→ 1714
If they lose-14→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexa GrassoRose Namajunas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexa Grasso58%
Rose Namajunas 42%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexa Grasso a 58% favorite over Rose Namajunas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Alexa Grasso holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1696, a 36-point edge.
Alexa Grasso enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexa Grasso finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.
Alexa Grasso and Rose Namajunas share 2 common opponents: Manon Fiorot and Natália Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.