Alexa Grasso vs Rose Namajunas

Jan 24, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

DateJan 24, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, January 24, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Alexa Grasso18-5-1Alexa Grasso vs Rose NamajunasRose NamajunasThug |14-8-0

Alexa Grasso18-5-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

18-5-1Record14-8-0

33Age34

5'5"Height5'5"

66"Reach65"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Rose NamajunasThug14-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Alexa Grasso owns a 36-point Elo edge (good). Rose Namajunas shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Alexa Grasso and Rose Namajunas across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Alexa GrassoRose Namajunas

Recent form

Alexa GrassoW W L L D · +15 Elo last 5

WWLLD

Rose NamajunasL W L W W · +20 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Alexa Grasso1732+18 last move

Rose Namajunas1696-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Alexa Grasso#9 of 75 active Women Flyweight fighters · 1732 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Valentina Shevchenko (rated 1832 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Natália Silva (rated 1715 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 2 losses, +15 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #8 Taila Santos, 10 ahead of #10 Maycee Barber.

Rose Namajunas#14 of 75 active Women Flyweight fighters · 1696 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Weili Zhang (rated 1796 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Natália Silva (rated 1731 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +20 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #13 Regina Tarin, 3 ahead of #15 Cong Wang.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Alexa GrassoNow 1732 · #9 Women Flyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1746

Loses by decision-18→ 1714

Rose NamajunasNow 1696 · #14 Women Flyweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1714

Loses by decision-14→ 1682

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Alexa GrassovsRose Namajunas

Takedown accuracy

6%vs51%

Takedown average

0.40vs1.49

Submission average

0.67vs0.37

Takedown defense

55%vs63%

Finishing profile

Alexa Grassodecision leads 61% of wins

Rose Namajunasdecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Natália Silva Alexa Grasso: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · May 10, 2025 Rose Namajunas: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jan 24, 2026

Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso: win · KO (punch) · Mar 28, 2026Rose Namajunas: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 13, 2024

Manon Fiorot Alexa Grasso: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Sep 12, 2026 Rose Namajunas: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Sep 2, 2023

Tale of the tape

Alexa GrassoRose Namajunas

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.11Sig. strikes landed per min3.60

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

41Sig. strike accuracy42

UFC flyweight average : 44%

3.71Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.38

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

59Sig. strike defense64

UFC flyweight average : 55%

0.40Takedown average1.49

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

6Takedown accuracy51

UFC flyweight average : 26%

55Takedown defense63

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.67Submission average0.37

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

5Wins by knockout2

2Wins by submission5

11Wins by decision7

0Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission1

4Losses by decision6

Alexa Grasso vs Rose Namajunas is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 324 : GAETHJE VS PIMBLETT. Alexa Grasso enters with a 18-5-1 record and Rose Namajunas enters with a 14-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.