Alexander Hernandez vs Chase Hooper
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record17-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
72"Reach74"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamCombat Sport & Fitness
What's at stake
Alexander Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chase Hooper carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1742
If they lose-13→ 1718
If they win+17→ 1723
If they lose-15→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezChase Hooper
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Hernandez55%
Chase Hooper 45%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 55% favorite over Chase Hooper in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Alexander Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1706, a 25-point edge.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Chase Hooper 76%.
Alexander Hernandez and Chase Hooper share 1 common opponent: Jim Miller.
Chase Hooper carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.