Alexander Hernandez vs Damon Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record23-8-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach 71"
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
Factory XTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Alexander Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Damon Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1741
If they lose-14→ 1717
If they win+14→ 1678
If they lose-10→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezDamon Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Hernandez76%
Damon Jackson 24%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 76% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Alexander Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1664, a 67-point edge.
Damon Jackson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Damon Jackson 83%.
Alexander Hernandez and Damon Jackson share 2 common opponents: Jim Miller and Billy Quarantillo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.