Alexander Hernandez vs Damon Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record23-8-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach 71"
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
Factory XTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Alexander Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Damon Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1727
If they lose-13→ 1703
If they win+13→ 1690
If they lose-11→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezDamon Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Hernandez80%
Damon Jackson 20%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 80% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Alexander Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1677, a 39-point edge.
Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Damon Jackson 83%.
Alexander Hernandez and Damon Jackson share 2 common opponents: Jim Miller and Billy Quarantillo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.