Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Combat Edge model read

Alexander Hernandez62%
Diego Ferreira38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 62% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Ferreira's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1726), separated by just 10 points.

Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Hernandez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Diego Ferreira 63%.

Diego Ferreira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Tale of the tape

18-9-0 Record 19-7-0
Lightweight Division Lightweight
5'9" Height 5'9"
72" Reach 74"
148 lbs Weight 155 lbs
Factory X Team Fortis MMA

Tracked stat edges

4.31
Sig. strikes / min
4.82
41%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.50
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.46
59%
Strike defense
56%
1.14
Takedown avg.
0.86
36%
Takedown accuracy
30%
73%
Takedown defense
58%
0.09
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Alexander Hernandez Diego Ferreira
1650 1700 1750 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
2 (11%)
Submission
7 (37%)
8 (44%)
Decision
7 (37%)