Alexander Hernandez vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1728
If they lose-12→ 1704
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Hernandez56%
Jim Miller 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 56% favorite over Jim Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jim Miller's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1720), separated by just 4 points.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Alexander Hernandez and Jim Miller share 2 common opponents: Chase Hooper and Damon Jackson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.