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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Hernandez vs Jim Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jim Miller
us

Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander HernandezNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
60%
Strike defense
57%
1.05
Takedown avg.
1.49
11%
Takedown accuracy
36%
69%
Takedown defense
48%
0.08
Submission avg.
1.72

Trajectory

Alexander HernandezJim Miller
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
7 (18%)
2 (11%)
Submission
22 (56%)
8 (42%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Hernandez54%
Jim Miller 46%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 54% favorite over Jim Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1720), separated by just 11 points.

Alexander Hernandez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.

Alexander Hernandez and Jim Miller share 2 common opponents: Chase Hooper and Damon Jackson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinTKO · 2025
Chase Hooper
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision (split) · 2024
Damon Jackson
WinSubmission · 2024