Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-4-0Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
71″Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Freestyle Fighting GymTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1877
If they lose-12→ 1853
If they win+16→ 1875
If they lose-16→ 1843
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1785 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkanovskiMovsar Evloev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Movsar Evloev70%
Alexander Volkanovski 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 70% favorite over Alexander Volkanovski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Volkanovski's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1865 vs 1859), separated by just 6 points.
Alexander Volkanovski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkanovski finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.
Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev share 1 common opponent: Diego Lopes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023