Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight Title

StatusScheduled

VenueEtihad Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Alexander VolkanovskiThe Great |28-4-0Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar EvloevMovsar Evloev20-0-0

Alexander VolkanovskiThe Great28-4-0

Fight Overview

Round5

Time5:00

28-4-0Record20-0-0

38Age32

5'6"Height5'8"

71″Reach72"

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

Featherweight TitleWeight ClassFeatherweight Title

Movsar Evloev20-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Alexander Volkanovski owns a 4-point Elo edge (elite). Alexander Volkanovski shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Alexander VolkanovskiMovsar Evloev

Recent form

Alexander VolkanovskiW W L L W · -4 Elo last 5

WWLLW

Movsar EvloevW W W W W · +69 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Alexander Volkanovski1865+9 last move

Movsar Evloev1861+14 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

34%Alexander Volkanovski66%Movsar Evloev

Model favoriteMovsar Evloev

Elo baseline49% for Movsar Evloev

Matchup adjustment+17 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Movsar EvloevStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Movsar Evloev is 66%, after Elo alone favored Alexander Volkanovski at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1865 · 1861Alexander Volkanovski leads by 4 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1785 · 1715Alexander Volkanovski faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth31 · 21 fightsAlexander Volkanovski has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesAlexander Volkanovski 3 · 1 Movsar EvloevStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Alexander Volkanovski.

Stat advantages

Alexander VolkanovskivsMovsar Evloev

Takedown accuracy

16%vs5%

Takedown average

1.63vs4.78

Sig. strikes landed per min

5.99vs3.91

Sig. strike accuracy

57%vs48%

Finishing profile

Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO leads 46% of wins

Movsar Evloevdecision leads 65% of wins

Common opponents

Diego Lopes Alexander Volkanovski: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jan 31, 2026 Movsar Evloev: win · Decision (Unanimous) · May 6, 2023

Ilia Topuria Alexander Volkanovski: loss · KO (punch) · Feb 17, 2024Movsar Evloev: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jan 22, 2022

Tale of the tape

Alexander VolkanovskiMovsar Evloev

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.99Sig. strikes landed per min3.91

UFC featherweight average : 3.96

57Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC featherweight average : 46%

3.31Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.80

UFC featherweight average : 3.86

59Sig. strike defense61

UFC featherweight average : 54%

1.63Takedown average4.78

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

16Takedown accuracy5

UFC featherweight average : 30%

69Takedown defense61

UFC featherweight average : 56%

0.20Submission average0.19

UFC featherweight average : 0.63

13Wins by knockout3

3Wins by submission4

12Wins by decision13

3Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev is a scheduled Featherweight Title fight on UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV. Alexander Volkanovski enters with a 28-4-0 record and Movsar Evloev enters with a 20-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.