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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Jared Cannonier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"Reach 77"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1679 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1693
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
Jared CannonierNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.35
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.54
Not available
Takedown accuracy
4%
Not available
Takedown defense
65%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichJared Cannonier
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
11 (61%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (11%)
6 (32%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Cannonier65%
Alexey Shurkevich 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 65% favorite over Alexey Shurkevich in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexey Shurkevich's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1693), separated by just 0 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.

Jared Cannonier carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.