Alexia Thainara vs Denise Gomes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record13-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
67"Reach 63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Ribas FamilyTeamParana Vale Tudo· 1661 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Alexia Thainara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Denise Gomes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1760
If they lose-17→ 1728
If they win+17→ 1747
If they lose-15→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexia ThainaraDenise Gomes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denise Gomes56%
Alexia Thainara 44%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Denise Gomes a 56% favorite over Alexia Thainara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexia Thainara's way (48%).
Alexia Thainara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1730, a 15-point edge.
Alexia Thainara enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Denise Gomes enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Alexia Thainara finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Denise Gomes 62%.
Alexia Thainara and Denise Gomes share 2 common opponents: Bruna Brasil and Loma Lookboonmee.
Alexia Thainara carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.