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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Petroski vs Mantas Kondratavičius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
73"Reach75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFighter House

What's at stake

Mantas Kondratavičius is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Andre Petroski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre PetroskiNow 1648
If they win+17→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1633
Mantas KondratavičiusNow 1671
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-17→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
4.97
49%
Strike accuracy
66%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.30
52%
Strike defense
57%
3.13
Takedown avg.
2.80
15%
Takedown accuracy
40%
86%
Takedown defense
92%
1.23
Submission avg.
0.93

Trajectory

Andre PetroskiMantas Kondratavičius
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (22%)
5 (38%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Petroski52%
Mantas Kondratavičius 48%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Petroski a 52% favorite over Mantas Kondratavičius in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mantas Kondratavičius's way (47%).

Mantas Kondratavičius holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1648, a 23-point edge.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mantas Kondratavičius enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mantas Kondratavičius 89%.

Mantas Kondratavičius carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.