Mantas Kondratavičius vs Andre Petroski

Nov 7, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast74%Mantas Kondratavičius26%Andre PetroskiFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Mantas Kondratavičius9-1-0Mantas Kondratavičius vs Andre PetroskiAndre Petroski13-6-0

Mantas Kondratavičius9-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

9-1-0Record13-6-0

27Age35

6'2"Height6'0"

75"Reach73"

185 lbsWeight186 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Andre Petroski13-6-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mantas Kondratavičius owns a 23-point Elo edge (good). Mantas Kondratavičius shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Mantas Kondratavičius and Andre Petroski across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Mantas KondratavičiusAndre Petroski

Recent form

Mantas KondratavičiusW W W W L · +49 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Andre PetroskiL L L W W · -35 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Mantas Kondratavičius1671+17 last move

Andre Petroski1648-25 last move

Why they are ranked here

Mantas Kondratavičius#83 of 282 active Middleweight fighters · 1671 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Rytis Kveselys (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Virgil Augen (rated 1524 at the time): -37.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +49 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #82 Marco Tulio, 1 ahead of #84 Jarrah Hussein Al-Silawi.

Andre Petroski#108 of 282 active Middleweight fighters · 1648 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Wellington Turman (rated 1662 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Cody Brundage (rated 1567 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -35 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #107 Ilian Bouafia, 0 ahead of #109 Andrzej Grzebyk.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

74%Mantas Kondratavičius26%Andre Petroski

Model favoriteMantas Kondratavičius

Elo baseline53% for Mantas Kondratavičius

Matchup adjustment+21 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Mantas KondratavičiusStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Mantas Kondratavičius leads the full model at 74%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 21 points.

Current Elo ratings1671 · 1648Mantas Kondratavičius leads by 23 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1516 · 1653Andre Petroski faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth10 · 19 fightsAndre Petroski has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesMantas Kondratavičius 4 · 0 Andre PetroskiStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Mantas Kondratavičius.

What's at stake

Mantas KondratavičiusNow 1671 · #83 Middleweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1686

Loses by decision-17→ 1654

Andre PetroskiNow 1648 · #108 Middleweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1665

Loses by decision-15→ 1633

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Mantas KondratavičiusvsAndre Petroski

Takedown accuracy

40%vs15%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

1.30vs2.99

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.97vs2.75

Sig. strike accuracy

66%vs49%

Finishing profile

Mantas KondratavičiusKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Andre Petroskidecision leads 38% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Mantas KondratavičiusAndre Petroski

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.97Sig. strikes landed per min2.75

UFC middleweight average : 3.93

66Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC middleweight average : 48%

1.30Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.99

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

57Sig. strike defense52

UFC middleweight average : 52%

2.80Takedown average3.13

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

40Takedown accuracy15

UFC middleweight average : 29%

92Takedown defense86

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.93Submission average1.23

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

6Wins by knockout4

2Wins by submission4

1Wins by decision5

0Losses by knockout5

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Mantas Kondratavičius vs Andre Petroski is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BONFIM VS BRADY. Mantas Kondratavičius enters with a 9-1-0 record and Andre Petroski enters with a 13-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.