Andrea Lee vs Cynthia Calvillo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record10-6-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
69"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight119 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1594
If they lose-15→ 1562
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-17→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeCynthia Calvillo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrea Lee57%
Cynthia Calvillo 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Lee a 57% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cynthia Calvillo's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1589), separated by just 12 points.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Cynthia Calvillo 50%.
Andrea Lee carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.