Angela Hill vs Ariane Carnelossi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-16-0Record15-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
64"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamInside Muay Thai· 1671 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Angela HillAriane Carnelossi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ariane Carnelossi51%
Angela Hill 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Carnelossi a 51% favorite over Angela Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Angela Hill's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1626), separated by just 5 points.
Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Angela Hill finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Ariane Carnelossi 79%.
Angela Hill and Ariane Carnelossi share 2 common opponents: Ketlen Souza and Lupita Godinez.
Angela Hill carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.