Antonina Shevchenko vs Viviane Araujo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamCerrado MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonina ShevchenkoViviane Araujo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Viviane Araujo70%
Antonina Shevchenko 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Viviane Araujo a 70% favorite over Antonina Shevchenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonina Shevchenko's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1621), separated by just 7 points.
Antonina Shevchenko finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Viviane Araujo 50%.
Antonina Shevchenko and Viviane Araujo share 3 common opponents: Andrea Lee, Katlyn Cerminara and Roxanne Modafferi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.