Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Brunno Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record15-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Brunno Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Armen Petrosyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1587
If they win+22→ 1609
If they lose-10→ 1577
Brunno FerreiraNow 1723
If they win+10→ 1733
If they lose-22→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
53%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.75
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.17
Takedown avg.
1
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
41%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanBrunno Ferreira
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (33%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Brunno Ferreira81%
Armen Petrosyan 19%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Brunno Ferreira a 81% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Brunno Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1587, a 136-point edge.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brunno Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Brunno Ferreira 93%.

Armen Petrosyan and Brunno Ferreira share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2022
Gregory Rodrigues
LossKO · 2026
WinKO/TKO · 2023