Armen Petrosyan vs Shara Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
71"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Academy MMATeamGOR MMA· 1706 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Shara Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Armen Petrosyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1614
If they lose-8→ 1582
If they win+8→ 1783
If they lose-24→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Armen PetrosyanShara Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shara Magomedov84%
Armen Petrosyan 16%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Shara Magomedov a 84% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Shara Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1775 to 1590, a 185-point edge.
Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.
Shara Magomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.