Ateba Gautier vs Robert Valentin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
81"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Ateba Gautier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Robert Valentin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-20→ 1680
If they win+20→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ateba GautierRobert Valentin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier71%
Robert Valentin 29%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 71% favorite over Robert Valentin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Ateba Gautier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1609, a 91-point edge.
Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 92%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.