Combat Edge Intelligence

Ateba Gautier vs Robert Valentin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ateba Gautier
cm

Ateba Gautier

“The Silent Assassin”

11-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
81"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

Ateba Gautier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Robert Valentin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ateba GautierNow 1721
If they win+10→ 1731
If they lose-22→ 1699
Robert ValentinNow 1592
If they win+22→ 1614
If they lose-10→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
49%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
52%
Strike defense
33%
0.49
Takedown avg.
0.59
100%
Takedown accuracy
50%
92%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Ateba GautierRobert Valentin
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (82%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (64%)
2 (18%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Ateba Gautier80%
Robert Valentin 20%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 80% favorite over Robert Valentin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Ateba Gautier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1592, a 129-point edge.

Ateba Gautier enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 91%.

Ateba Gautier carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.