Ateba Gautier vs Roman Kopylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
81"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamRaty Team· 1668 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
Ateba Gautier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Roman Kopylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1736
If they lose-17→ 1704
If they win+17→ 1714
If they lose-15→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ateba GautierRoman Kopylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier53%
Roman Kopylov 47%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 53% favorite over Roman Kopylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ateba Gautier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1697, a 24-point edge.
Ateba Gautier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.