Ateba Gautier vs Roman Kopylov

DateOct 3, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueDelta Center

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 3, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Ateba GautierThe Silent Assassin |11-1-0Ateba Gautier vs Roman KopylovRoman Kopylov15-5-0

Ateba GautierThe Silent Assassin11-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

11-1-0Record15-5-0

24Age35

6'4"Height6'0"

81"Reach75"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Roman Kopylov15-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Ateba Gautier owns a 24-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ateba Gautier and Roman Kopylov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ateba GautierRoman Kopylov

Recent form

Ateba GautierW W W W W · +104 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Roman KopylovW L L W W · +20 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Elo edge

Ateba Gautier1721+16 last move

Roman Kopylov1697+16 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

70%Ateba Gautier30%Roman Kopylov

Model favoriteAteba Gautier

Elo baseline53% for Ateba Gautier

Matchup adjustment+17 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Ateba GautierStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Ateba Gautier leads the full model at 70%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 17 points.

Current Elo ratings1721 · 1697Ateba Gautier leads by 24 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1545 · 1677Roman Kopylov faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth12 · 20 fightsRoman Kopylov has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesAteba Gautier 2 · 2 Roman KopylovStrongest available gap: Takedown average toward Roman Kopylov.

Stat advantages

Ateba GautiervsRoman Kopylov

Takedown average

0.41vs1.12

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.60vs5.08

Sig. strike accuracy

44%vs50%

Takedown defense

94%vs89%

Finishing profile

Ateba GautierKO/TKO leads 82% of wins

Roman KopylovKO/TKO leads 80% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ateba GautierRoman Kopylov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.32Sig. strikes landed per min4.54

UFC middleweight average : 3.76

44Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC middleweight average : 48%

2.60Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.08

UFC middleweight average : 3.80

54Sig. strike defense53

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.41Takedown average1.12

UFC middleweight average : 1.70

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC middleweight average : 32%

94Takedown defense89

UFC middleweight average : 58%

0Submission average0

UFC middleweight average : 0.63

9Wins by knockout12

0Wins by submission0

2Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

1Losses by decision3

Ateba Gautier vs Roman Kopylov is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC 332 : SILVA VS WANG. Ateba Gautier enters with a 11-1-0 record and Roman Kopylov enters with a 15-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.