Axel Sola vs Chris Padilla
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-1Record18-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach74"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1674 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Axel SolaChris Padilla
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Axel Sola54%
Chris Padilla 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Axel Sola a 54% favorite over Chris Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1724), separated by just 3 points.
Axel Sola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Padilla enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Axel Sola finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Chris Padilla 83%.
Axel Sola and Chris Padilla share 1 common opponent: Ismael Bonfim.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.