Combat Edge Intelligence

Axel Sola vs Ismael Bonfim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

12-1-1Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach71"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCerrado MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Axel Sola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ismael Bonfim carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Axel SolaNow 1706
If they win+14→ 1720
If they lose-18→ 1688
Ismael BonfimNow 1662
If they win+18→ 1680
If they lose-14→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
5.51
50%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
62%
Strike defense
65%
1.89
Takedown avg.
1.06
9%
Takedown accuracy
33%
67%
Takedown defense
77%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Axel SolaIsmael Bonfim
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (20%)
4 (33%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Axel Sola54%
Ismael Bonfim 46%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Axel Sola a 54% favorite over Ismael Bonfim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Axel Sola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1662, a 44-point edge.

Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Axel Sola finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ismael Bonfim 65%.

Axel Sola carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.