Axel Sola vs Mason Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-1Record18-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
154 lbsWeight156 lbs
Boxing SquadTeamPedro Bessa BJJ
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Axel Sola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1706
If they lose-13→ 1674
If they win+13→ 1757
If they lose-19→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Axel SolaMason Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones60%
Axel Sola 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 60% favorite over Axel Sola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1687, a 57-point edge.
Mason Jones enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Axel Sola finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.