Combat Edge Intelligence

Axel Sola vs Mason Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mason Jones
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Mason Jones

“The Dragon”

18-3-0LightweightUFC

1724Good

Tale of the tape

13-1-1Record18-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
154 lbsWeight156 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1714 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPedro Bessa BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Axel SolaNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Mason JonesNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
5.98
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
62%
Strike defense
51%
1.89
Takedown avg.
3.48
9%
Takedown accuracy
29%
67%
Takedown defense
74%
0.47
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Axel SolaMason Jones
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
2 (15%)
Submission
3 (17%)
4 (31%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Axel Sola73%
Mason Jones 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Axel Sola a 73% favorite over Mason Jones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1724), separated by just 1 points.

Axel Sola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Axel Sola finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.