Benoit Saint-Denis vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Renato Moicano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1782
If they lose-17→ 1750
If they win+13→ 1756
If they lose-11→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benoit Saint-DenisRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benoit Saint-Denis60%
Renato Moicano 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 60% favorite over Renato Moicano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1743, a 24-point edge.
Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Benoit Saint-Denis and Renato Moicano share 1 common opponent: Beneil Dariush.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.