Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record19-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie Tampa SouthTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Diego Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Billy Quarantillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Billy QuarantilloNow 1678
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-10→ 1668
Diego FerreiraNow 1726
If they win+10→ 1736
If they lose-14→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.70
55%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
43%
Strike defense
56%
1.47
Takedown avg.
0.82
2%
Takedown accuracy
3%
61%
Takedown defense
58%
1.02
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Billy QuarantilloDiego Ferreira
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
5 (28%)
Submission
7 (37%)
5 (28%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Ferreira66%
Billy Quarantillo 34%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Ferreira a 66% favorite over Billy Quarantillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Diego Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1678, a 48-point edge.

Billy Quarantillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Billy Quarantillo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Diego Ferreira 63%.

Billy Quarantillo and Diego Ferreira share 1 common opponent: Alexander Hernandez.

Diego Ferreira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2022
Alexander Hernandez
LossTKO · 2025