Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Riddell vs Jalin Turner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jalin Turner
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Jalin Turner

“The Tarantula”

15-9-0LightweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record15-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'3"
71"Reach77"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAdrenaline Combat Sports

What's at stake

Jalin Turner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brad Riddell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brad RiddellNow 1648
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634
Jalin TurnerNow 1688
If they win+11→ 1699
If they lose-13→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
5.79
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
54%
Strike defense
42%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0.75
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Brad RiddellJalin Turner
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
5 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jalin Turner70%
Brad Riddell 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jalin Turner a 70% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jalin Turner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1648, a 40-point edge.

Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jalin Turner 100%.

Brad Riddell and Jalin Turner share 2 common opponents: Renato Moicano and Jamie Mullarkey.

Jalin Turner carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossSubmission · 2022
Renato Moicano
LossKO/TKO · 2024
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019
Jamie Mullarkey
WinTKO · 2022