Brandon Moreno vs Charles Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-10-2Record20-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamMurcielago MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Brandon Moreno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Charles Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1767
If they lose-14→ 1743
If they win+14→ 1721
If they lose-10→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoCharles Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno73%
Charles Johnson 27%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 73% favorite over Charles Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Brandon Moreno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1757 to 1707, a 50-point edge.
Brandon Moreno finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Charles Johnson 60%.
Brandon Moreno and Charles Johnson share 1 common opponent: Lone’er Kavanagh.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.